← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.21vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.27+4.56vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.51+2.80vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.90+4.05vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.36+4.96vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.94+2.05vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.44-0.96vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.62+0.95vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.45+0.99vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.77vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.85-3.57vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.35-2.82vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.70-4.96vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.34-4.62vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University2.29-5.55vs Predicted
-
17Bates College1.32-3.26vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
-
6.56Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
5.8University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.05Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.96Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.05Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
6.04Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.95Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
-
9.99Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.43Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
10.18University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
-
9.04Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
10.38Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.45Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
13.74Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
-
13.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Jesse Thomas | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ian White | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Richard Bergsund | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Edward Moan | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 30.8% |
| George Luber | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.