Race 3A

saturday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Egeli 11.8% 14.5% 14.6% 17.2% 17.2% 12.1% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Declan Botwinick 33.2% 25.0% 19.0% 12.5% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Larzelere 18.9% 18.5% 19.4% 17.1% 13.1% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 18.3% 22.2% 19.4% 16.4% 12.2% 6.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Garrett Moen 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 4.7% 6.6% 10.3% 14.0% 20.2% 22.4% 14.5%
Beck Lorsch 5.5% 5.9% 9.0% 12.0% 15.4% 17.1% 16.5% 11.2% 6.2% 1.1%
Ryan Magill 3.8% 3.6% 4.9% 6.4% 10.4% 14.0% 15.9% 19.0% 15.0% 7.0%
Will Rudaz 1.8% 1.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.8% 8.0% 12.2% 17.4% 25.4% 20.0%
Cameron Frary 4.2% 5.2% 5.6% 7.8% 10.8% 16.2% 19.1% 15.6% 11.3% 4.1%
Jack Sullivan 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 4.5% 6.3% 10.4% 18.1% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.