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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+4.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.22vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+6.80vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+4.10vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36+4.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+0.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62+2.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27-1.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.70+0.04vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-2.26vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.34-0.61vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.85-3.82vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-2.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.35-3.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.65vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.00vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.32-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.8Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.54Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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14.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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13.76Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jesse Thomas | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Ian White | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| George Luber | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 18.0% | 35.2% |
| Edward Moan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.