Race 4A

saturday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Declan Botwinick 32.9% 25.7% 19.1% 11.2% 6.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Frary 4.3% 4.3% 6.6% 9.4% 10.7% 16.0% 17.2% 14.8% 12.7% 4.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 19.4% 20.3% 18.3% 16.9% 12.9% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Beck Lorsch 5.5% 6.8% 9.3% 11.2% 16.3% 16.5% 16.1% 11.2% 5.9% 1.2%
Adam Larzelere 17.6% 20.2% 20.7% 16.9% 11.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Garrett Moen 1.9% 2.4% 3.9% 4.1% 7.0% 10.5% 13.9% 18.9% 22.0% 15.3%
Tyler Egeli 12.4% 13.9% 13.9% 16.8% 16.7% 12.7% 8.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Will Rudaz 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 3.9% 6.6% 8.8% 12.7% 18.4% 22.9% 20.1%
Ryan Magill 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 7.5% 9.7% 12.6% 16.9% 19.0% 16.8% 6.8%
Jack Sullivan 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 4.2% 6.4% 11.2% 18.4% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.