Race 5A

saturday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Declan Botwinick 31.6% 26.7% 18.9% 12.4% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 20.1% 21.6% 17.8% 16.2% 12.7% 7.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Ryan Magill 2.8% 3.5% 5.8% 7.3% 8.2% 13.2% 17.2% 19.5% 15.8% 6.8%
Tyler Egeli 12.0% 13.1% 15.4% 17.2% 17.0% 12.2% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Adam Larzelere 18.2% 19.2% 18.9% 17.3% 12.8% 7.4% 4.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Cameron Frary 4.7% 4.3% 7.3% 8.8% 11.1% 17.1% 16.4% 14.1% 12.0% 4.0%
Garrett Moen 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 4.5% 7.6% 9.7% 14.4% 20.8% 20.3% 15.3%
Beck Lorsch 5.9% 6.3% 8.8% 11.1% 15.1% 17.5% 15.9% 11.6% 6.3% 1.4%
Will Rudaz 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 5.1% 8.5% 12.5% 17.9% 25.4% 20.4%
Jack Sullivan 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 4.1% 4.3% 6.2% 10.2% 18.4% 52.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.