← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.96vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.44+3.70vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.85+4.79vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.35+5.74vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.70+3.40vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.93vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.51-1.34vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.13-1.39vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.62-0.42vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.36-0.42vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.34-1.39vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.45-3.75vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.29-4.20vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.98vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.27-10.61vs Predicted
-
18Bates College1.32-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
5.7Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.79Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
9.74University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
-
8.4Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.66University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.61Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.58Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
9.58Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.61Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.25Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.8Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
13.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
6.39Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
12.97Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Ian White | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| OJ O'Connell | 13.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Richard Bergsund | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| George Luber | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 34.5% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.