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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.06vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16+0.44vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.17-0.69vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.40+1.13vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.60vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.07-1.64vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.01-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.96-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.23-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Rhode Island1.8033.8%1st Place
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4.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7211.8%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University1.1617.3%1st Place
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3.31Northeastern University1.1719.4%1st Place
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6.13Bates College-0.404.6%1st Place
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6.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.8%1st Place
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5.36Yale University0.075.8%1st Place
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7.34Salve Regina University-1.011.9%1st Place
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8.73University of Connecticut-1.960.6%1st Place
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7.53University of New Hampshire-1.231.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Declan Botwinick | 33.8% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Tyler Egeli | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Adam Larzelere | 17.3% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Santiago Hirschmann | 19.4% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Cameron Frary | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 4.5% |
Ryan Magill | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 7.6% |
Beck Lorsch | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
Garrett Moen | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 15.1% |
Jack Sullivan | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 52.2% |
Will Rudaz | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 23.5% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.