← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.51+4.38vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.13+4.71vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.45+5.27vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.36+4.69vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.62+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.85+0.83vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.70+0.46vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.07vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.27-3.78vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.35-1.34vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.10vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.44-7.21vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.29-4.19vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.34-6.48vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.78vs Predicted
-
18Bates College1.32-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.38University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.71Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
9.27Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.69Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.62Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
7.83Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.46Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
4.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
-
6.22Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.66University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
-
7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.79Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.81Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.52Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
-
13.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
12.99Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian White | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| George Luber | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 37.9% |
| Edward Moan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 20.5% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.