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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.68+2.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.51+1.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.36+1.35vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.23-0.22vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.38vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.02-2.36vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.55+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.39vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.46-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Rhode Island0.6820.8%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University0.5116.0%1st Place
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4.35Yale University0.3613.1%1st Place
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3.78Northeastern University0.2317.2%1st Place
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4.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.039.8%1st Place
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6.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.675.1%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University-0.0210.5%1st Place
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8.07Bates College-1.552.0%1st Place
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7.61University of New Hampshire-1.412.8%1st Place
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7.89Fairfield University-1.462.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thomas Johnson | 20.8% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Charlotte Versavel | 16.0% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Sam Rifkind-Brown | 13.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Ben Palmer | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Andy Leshaw | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
Gerrit Bittmann | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% |
Gregory Dillon | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
Gray Dinsel | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 34.6% |
Devyn Weed | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 23.1% | 24.1% |
Lloyd Dennis | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.