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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.68+2.39vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.66vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.23+0.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.51-0.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.36-0.84vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.11vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.55+0.57vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.02-3.52vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Rhode Island0.6820.3%1st Place
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4.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0310.2%1st Place
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3.5Northeastern University0.2319.1%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University0.5116.3%1st Place
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4.16Yale University0.3613.2%1st Place
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6.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.675.1%1st Place
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7.57Bates College-1.551.8%1st Place
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4.48Salve Regina University-0.0211.7%1st Place
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7.35University of New Hampshire-1.412.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Johnson | 20.3% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Ben Palmer | 19.1% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 16.3% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 11.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 24.2% | 44.5% |
| Gregory Dillon | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 26.5% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.