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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.53+6.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.52+2.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.61+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.04+2.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.92vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.31-0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-2.48vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-1.63vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.10-3.02vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-2.55vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.55-0.84vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.63-1.97vs Predicted
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14Cornell University-1.25-0.97vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.41-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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4.71Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
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4.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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5.47Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.16Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.03Yale University0.630.0%1st Place
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13.03Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.19Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Renik | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Layton | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 15.4% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 26.6% | 36.3% | 15.8% | 2.6% |
| Rafael Fernandez | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 29.9% | 32.7% | 14.1% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bick | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 37.5% | 43.6% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 31.8% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.