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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+5.67vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+3.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+1.47vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85+1.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.35+0.45vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.45-0.82vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.62-2.34vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-2.28vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.70-4.61vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.34-4.40vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.44-9.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.80vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.32-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.83Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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9.18Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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13.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.97Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Ian White | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 37.2% |
| Edward Moan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.