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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University0.36+3.11vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.68+0.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.51-0.21vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.55+2.57vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.02-1.54vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.23-3.36vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.41-0.74vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Yale University0.3613.1%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0310.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Rhode Island0.6820.1%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University0.5115.8%1st Place
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7.57Bates College-1.552.1%1st Place
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4.46Salve Regina University-0.0212.3%1st Place
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3.64Northeastern University0.2319.2%1st Place
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7.26University of New Hampshire-1.411.9%1st Place
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6.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.675.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Johnson | 20.1% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 24.1% | 45.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 19.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 27.2% | 35.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.