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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.51+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.68+0.47vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.55+3.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.36-0.87vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.41+0.29vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.23-4.34vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.02-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0310.6%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University0.5114.9%1st Place
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3.47University of Rhode Island0.6820.4%1st Place
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7.45Bates College-1.552.5%1st Place
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4.13Yale University0.3614.3%1st Place
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6.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.675.0%1st Place
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7.29University of New Hampshire-1.412.3%1st Place
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3.66Northeastern University0.2318.0%1st Place
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4.5Salve Regina University-0.0211.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andy Leshaw | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
Charlotte Versavel | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
Thomas Johnson | 20.4% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Gray Dinsel | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 22.8% | 43.5% |
Sam Rifkind-Brown | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
Gerrit Bittmann | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 12.8% |
Devyn Weed | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 27.2% | 35.5% |
Ben Palmer | 18.0% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
Gregory Dillon | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.