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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+1.71vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.21vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+0.68vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.09+0.30vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.66+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.51+0.72vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.71vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71The Citadel1.2226.1%1st Place
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2.21North Carolina State University1.5337.7%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University0.4812.3%1st Place
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4.3Rollins College0.098.6%1st Place
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5.49Rollins College-0.664.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Georgia-1.511.8%1st Place
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5.29Embry-Riddle University-0.524.9%1st Place
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5.61Florida Institute of Technology-0.724.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Gregory Walters | 26.1% | 25.2% | 20.3% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Jacob Usher | 37.7% | 26.9% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Joe Seiffert | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
Jackson McGeough | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
Herminio Agront | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 21.4% | 16.4% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 49.7% |
Zechariah Frantz | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 12.2% |
Anthon Funderburk | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.