← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.21vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.34+7.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.35+6.53vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.70+4.51vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.13+1.91vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.27+0.40vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.85+0.90vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.00vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.44-3.32vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.29-0.14vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.45-1.85vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont3.51-6.39vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.36-3.51vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.12vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.62-6.29vs Predicted
-
18Bates College0.40-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.5Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.53University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
-
8.51Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
-
6.91Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.4Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.9Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
-
5.68Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.86Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.15Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
5.61University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
9.49Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
12.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.71Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
-
14.65Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Ian White | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| George Luber | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 27.5% | 21.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Wells | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 16.1% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.