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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+3.75vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+3.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+4.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+1.39vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.34+3.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.70+0.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.85-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.35-0.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.83vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.45-2.75vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.29-4.27vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-5.61vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-10.36vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.40-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.64Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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12.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.25Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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14.66Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| David Larson | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Ian White | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| George Luber | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 28.2% | 23.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| OJ O'Connell | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 16.3% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.