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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.25vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+0.80vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+0.60vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+1.53vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.51+0.68vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.09-2.59vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.66-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25North Carolina State University1.5337.0%1st Place
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2.8The Citadel1.2223.2%1st Place
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3.6Jacksonville University0.4814.8%1st Place
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5.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.724.6%1st Place
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5.3Embry-Riddle University-0.524.6%1st Place
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6.68University of Georgia-1.511.8%1st Place
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4.41Rollins College0.098.6%1st Place
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5.43Rollins College-0.665.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 37.0% | 27.0% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 23.2% | 25.8% | 21.3% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joe Seiffert | 14.8% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 17.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 13.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 48.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Herminio Agront | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 21.9% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.