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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Harvard University2.34+7.46vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+6.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.15vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+2.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.70+2.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.35+1.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.44-3.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.45-0.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.62vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-5.15vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36-3.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.03vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.40-1.49vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.51-11.41vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.27-11.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.69Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.14Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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14.51Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Bergsund | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Ian White | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| David Larson | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| George Luber | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 26.3% | 23.4% |
| Samuel Wells | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 58.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.