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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.26vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+0.77vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+0.61vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.66+1.47vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+0.57vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.09-1.65vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26North Carolina State University1.5335.8%1st Place
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2.77The Citadel1.2224.4%1st Place
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3.61Jacksonville University0.4814.5%1st Place
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5.47Rollins College-0.665.0%1st Place
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5.57Florida Institute of Technology-0.724.2%1st Place
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4.35Rollins College0.099.2%1st Place
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5.24Embry-Riddle University-0.525.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Georgia-1.511.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 35.8% | 27.8% | 19.4% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 24.4% | 24.4% | 21.9% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Herminio Agront | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 15.4% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 16.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 12.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.