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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.61+3.59vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.31+2.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.52+0.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.04+0.16vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.53+0.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56-0.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.10-3.03vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-4.50vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.63-0.96vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.41+0.24vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-2.95vs Predicted
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15Cornell University-1.25-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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3.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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5.46Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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4.9Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.25Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.04Yale University0.630.0%1st Place
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13.24Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
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11.05Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.03Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Pimentel | 13.0% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 20.4% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Layton | 8.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Doble | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Fernandez | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 28.9% | 35.2% | 13.4% | 2.5% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 32.7% | 53.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 26.3% | 36.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% |
| Emily Bick | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 4.4% | 11.6% | 39.2% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.