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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.29+3.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.12+5.58vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.28+1.31vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.33+0.26vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.47+1.62vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.48+0.66vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.90+1.44vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.87-2.67vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.46-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.76+2.26vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.78-3.25vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.07-1.60vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria0.61-4.71vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.19-4.43vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound-1.01-2.21vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-0.18-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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7.58Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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4.26Western Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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6.62Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.66Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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8.44Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
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5.33Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.75University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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10.57University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 16.8% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Parish | 17.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lea Fetterman | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jake Fetterman | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Paul Foley | 12.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 29.8% |
| Josef Schwan | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Tate Higgins | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 8.2% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Darling | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| William Service | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 39.1% |
| David Widder | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.