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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.29+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.28+2.26vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.47+3.60vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.33+0.22vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.48+1.49vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.12+1.77vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.87-1.54vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.90+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.46+0.76vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.78-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.07-0.65vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.18-1.23vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.29vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound-0.76-1.84vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria0.61-6.57vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia0.19-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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6.6Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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6.49Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.77Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.46Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.25Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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8.84University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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10.74University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 17.7% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 17.9% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lea Fetterman | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Paul Foley | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Josef Schwan | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Tate Higgins | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% |
| David Widder | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.5% |
| William Service | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 37.6% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 27.9% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Darling | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.