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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.50+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.68+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.71vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+1.74vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.02-1.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.47vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Northeastern University1.2633.4%1st Place
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3.51University of Rhode Island0.5016.2%1st Place
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3.37University of New Hampshire0.6817.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.774.0%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.8%1st Place
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4.2Bates College0.0210.2%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.8%1st Place
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3.47Salve Regina University0.4615.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 33.4% | 25.2% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Iain Jaeger | 16.2% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Grace Cannon | 17.2% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Kate Myler | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 26.1% | 24.6% | 15.0% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 24.6% | 46.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Norman Walker | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 30.2% | 34.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 15.4% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.