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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.07+10.63vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.33+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria2.29+1.54vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.48+3.04vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.87+0.68vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.12+2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46+3.24vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.61+1.61vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University1.47-2.10vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.19+1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon1.55-4.34vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.78-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.28-9.53vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.04vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.90-7.09vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound-0.76-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.63University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.4Western Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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7.04Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.68Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.1Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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6.9Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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11.13University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Oregon1.550.1%1st Place
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9.19University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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13.96University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.91Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Higgins | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 10.9% |
| Lea Fetterman | 17.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Abel | 15.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Cody Odou | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Darling | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Stephen Moran | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Josef Schwan | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Sam Parish | 15.0% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Service | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 21.6% | 41.3% |
| Jake Fetterman | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 23.5% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.