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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.47vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.02+2.26vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.50-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.30vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Salve Regina University0.4615.5%1st Place
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4.26Bates College0.0210.6%1st Place
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2.54Northeastern University1.2631.7%1st Place
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3.36University of New Hampshire0.6817.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Rhode Island0.5017.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.9%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.692.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 15.5% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.6% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 31.7% | 23.8% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 17.2% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Iain Jaeger | 17.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kate Myler | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 26.5% | 15.2% |
| Norman Walker | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 29.1% | 35.3% |
| Kolby Seibert | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 25.7% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.