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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.28+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.29+2.49vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+2.70vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.33+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.78+4.23vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.12+2.18vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.48-0.01vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University1.47-1.21vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.90-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon1.55-3.26vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.46-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.61-2.28vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.07-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-0.76-0.60vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.19-3.88vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound-1.01-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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5.7Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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9.23University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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8.18Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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6.99Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.79Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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8.72Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Oregon1.550.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.12University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Parish | 16.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Abel | 16.6% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lea Fetterman | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Halliday | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Martin | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cody Odou | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Moran | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Tate Higgins | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 29.5% |
| Matthew Darling | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| William Service | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 21.2% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.