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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+1.47vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.50+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68-0.62vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02-0.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+0.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Northeastern University1.2632.6%1st Place
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3.46Salve Regina University0.4615.5%1st Place
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3.4University of Rhode Island0.5017.8%1st Place
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3.38University of New Hampshire0.6816.2%1st Place
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4.28Bates College0.0210.3%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.8%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.8%1st Place
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5.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.774.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 32.6% | 25.8% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 15.5% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Iain Jaeger | 17.8% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Grace Cannon | 16.2% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 29.2% | 38.2% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 26.2% | 41.1% |
| Kate Myler | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 24.7% | 25.2% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.