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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.36vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.26+0.50vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.50-1.51vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.02-1.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Salve Regina University0.4618.1%1st Place
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2.5Northeastern University1.2631.2%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.1%1st Place
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3.38University of New Hampshire0.6816.5%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island0.5016.2%1st Place
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4.29Bates College0.0210.2%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.7%1st Place
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5.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 18.1% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 31.2% | 26.4% | 19.4% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 27.8% | 37.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 16.5% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Iain Jaeger | 16.2% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 25.6% | 43.3% |
| Kate Myler | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 23.3% | 26.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.