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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.92+2.35vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.52+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.76+3.60vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.08+1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.14+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.03+3.22vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.18+1.60vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.43-0.45vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.45+1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.76+1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.68-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-3.60vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.03-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.56-6.90vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound-1.82-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound-2.20-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of British Columbia1.920.2%1st Place
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4.37Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.6University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.6Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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7.55Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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10.44Western Washington University-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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8.4University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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8.95Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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13.96University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Puget Sound-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 24.3% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 17.0% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Kaili Swetland | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Greg Moran | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Paulsen | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 5.5% |
| Michael Mallory | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Colin Bartels | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 31.0% | 34.7% |
| Christopher Eichar | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 21.5% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.