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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.50+2.53vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.26+0.44vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.39vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.02+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-1.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.20-1.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Rhode Island0.5014.3%1st Place
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2.44Northeastern University1.2633.5%1st Place
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3.39Salve Regina University0.4616.1%1st Place
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4.23Bates College0.0210.2%1st Place
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3.3University of New Hampshire0.6818.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.8%1st Place
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5.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.203.8%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Jaeger | 14.3% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 33.5% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 16.1% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.1% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 13.8% | 26.5% | 42.9% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 23.4% | 26.2% | 19.6% |
| Norman Walker | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 28.7% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.