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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.02+3.26vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.38vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.50-1.51vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.20-1.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Bates College0.0210.1%1st Place
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3.38Salve Regina University0.4617.4%1st Place
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2.45Northeastern University1.2631.9%1st Place
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3.28University of New Hampshire0.6818.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island0.5016.0%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.7%1st Place
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6.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.203.0%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 17.4% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 31.9% | 26.9% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.1% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Iain Jaeger | 16.0% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 25.8% | 42.2% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 22.3% | 27.4% | 20.9% |
| Norman Walker | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 28.4% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.