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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.92+2.38vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.52+2.39vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.76+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.03+5.34vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.22+3.42vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.08-0.28vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.18+1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.68-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.76+2.35vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.14-1.30vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.03-2.02vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.43-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.56-5.80vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.45-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound-1.82-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound-2.20-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of British Columbia1.920.2%1st Place
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4.39Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.42University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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5.72Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.55Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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8.98Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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7.69Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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10.4Western Washington University-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
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14.57University of Puget Sound-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 24.9% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Gabe Hill | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Michael Mallory | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 6.1% |
| Jasmin Chana | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Greg Moran | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin Bartels | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Paulsen | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Greene | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 30.7% | 34.9% |
| Christopher Eichar | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 22.3% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.