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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.48vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.02+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.50+0.49vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-1.62vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+0.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.20-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Salve Regina University0.4615.6%1st Place
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4.17Bates College0.0210.8%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island0.5015.8%1st Place
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2.38Northeastern University1.2634.4%1st Place
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3.38University of New Hampshire0.6816.3%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.5%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.5%1st Place
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5.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.203.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 15.6% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Iain Jaeger | 15.8% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 34.4% | 27.0% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 16.3% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 23.7% | 44.9% |
| Norman Walker | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 17.6% | 28.7% | 31.8% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 23.4% | 28.1% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.