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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.52+3.33vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.08+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.76+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.76+7.53vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia1.92-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.03+3.17vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.45+3.59vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.43-0.43vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.03-0.07vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.18-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.68-4.12vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-3.62vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.56-5.82vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.82-0.12vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria0.14-7.25vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound-2.20-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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5.58Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
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3.47University of British Columbia1.920.2%1st Place
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9.17University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.59Western Washington University-0.450.0%1st Place
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7.57Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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8.93Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.53Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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8.38University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Washington0.560.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Puget Sound-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hickman | 16.7% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 22.7% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Paulsen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% |
| Greg Moran | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Mallory | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Colin Bartels | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 29.8% | 32.1% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Eichar | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 22.2% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.