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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.92+2.34vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.52+2.39vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.14+5.62vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.68+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.76+1.62vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.08-0.25vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.43+0.75vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.18+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.56-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.03-0.71vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.03-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-3.62vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.76-1.59vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.45-3.56vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound-1.82-2.01vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound-2.20-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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4.39Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.75Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.75Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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8.36Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.95Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.38University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
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10.44Western Washington University-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.99University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
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14.6University of Puget Sound-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 26.4% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Michael Mallory | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gabe Hill | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Moran | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Rachael McCrady | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Colin Bartels | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 5.4% |
| Caleb Paulsen | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 11.6% | 31.8% | 34.5% |
| Christopher Eichar | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 21.8% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.