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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.50+0.48vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46-0.63vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02-0.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+0.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.20-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Northeastern University1.2633.1%1st Place
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3.31University of New Hampshire0.6817.4%1st Place
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3.48University of Rhode Island0.5017.1%1st Place
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3.37Salve Regina University0.4616.4%1st Place
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4.24Bates College0.029.0%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.9%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.5%1st Place
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6.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.202.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 33.1% | 25.1% | 19.8% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 17.4% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Iain Jaeger | 17.1% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 16.4% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 15.2% | 27.6% | 41.0% |
| Norman Walker | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 17.2% | 28.6% | 33.7% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 22.4% | 28.2% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.