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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington1.76+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.69-0.25vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.21-2.32vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.20-3.27vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria2.65-5.02vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound0.55-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound1.26-4.50vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria1.79-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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3.68Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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2.98University of Victoria2.650.2%1st Place
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6.52University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 6.4% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 8.9% |
| Peter McGrath | 18.5% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Casey Pruitt | 16.7% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Neil Hawkes | 24.6% | 24.1% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| John Elam | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 48.7% |
| Mike Knape | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 21.8% |
| Robert Berry | 11.3% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.