Race 1B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Shaw 2.1% 3.8% 7.0% 9.8% 14.8% 13.5% 14.1% 13.9% 12.5% 8.6%
Jonathan Wittick 41.9% 31.8% 17.1% 6.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Bennett 1.7% 3.1% 5.2% 9.2% 10.3% 13.2% 15.2% 14.7% 15.3% 12.0%
Alexander Salzberg 32.8% 31.4% 19.1% 11.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew McCarvill 4.3% 6.3% 10.5% 15.2% 17.2% 15.7% 13.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.2%
Benjamin Mohrman 10.4% 13.6% 24.1% 19.8% 14.8% 10.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
John Morgan Griffith 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 6.7% 8.0% 11.3% 11.9% 13.4% 17.2% 23.5%
George Wood 1.9% 2.9% 5.2% 8.2% 9.4% 11.6% 15.6% 15.3% 16.0% 13.8%
Tyler Needham 1.9% 2.5% 4.6% 7.5% 10.6% 12.2% 13.3% 16.1% 16.1% 15.2%
Joseph Arrigo 0.8% 2.2% 3.6% 5.9% 9.4% 10.3% 11.2% 14.9% 17.0% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.