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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+1.37vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+2.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.39-0.43vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.48+1.80vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.01+0.06vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43+0.01vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.89-0.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.64+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.15vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.65-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Roger Williams University1.5534.1%1st Place
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4.54Brown University0.379.3%1st Place
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2.57Roger Williams University1.3930.4%1st Place
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5.8Boston University-0.485.0%1st Place
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5.06Northeastern University0.015.9%1st Place
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6.01Fairfield University-0.434.5%1st Place
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6.78Amherst College-0.892.9%1st Place
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8.19Salve Regina University-1.641.2%1st Place
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7.85University of New Hampshire-1.411.8%1st Place
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5.82Bates College-0.655.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor McHugh | 34.1% | 28.2% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
Edward Herman | 30.4% | 25.8% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sage Andrews | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
Isabella Cho | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
Jane Matthews | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
James Knowlton | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 13.6% |
Olivia Blackmer | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 39.3% |
Devyn Weed | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 24.6% | 29.8% |
Greta Shuster | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.