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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.92+2.35vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+5.58vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.68+3.87vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.08+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.22+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.56+1.34vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.52-2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.76-1.54vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.03-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.03-0.76vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.18-2.48vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.45-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.82-0.09vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound-2.20-0.47vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.76-4.45vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria0.14-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
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7.58Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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5.71Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.37University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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4.45Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.46University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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8.92Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.52Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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10.49Western Washington University-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Puget Sound-2.200.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 25.4% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Moran | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Mallory | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Colin Bartels | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brian Hickman | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Paulsen | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 29.7% | 34.1% |
| Christopher Eichar | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 22.7% | 51.5% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 6.3% |
| Jasmin Chana | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.