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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.92+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.60+0.27vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.12+2.02vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.23+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.99-1.92vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.69+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.67+0.52vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.73-0.44vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.44-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Purdue University0.9218.6%1st Place
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2.27University of Illinois1.6036.4%1st Place
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5.02Marquette University-0.126.2%1st Place
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4.39Michigan State University0.238.4%1st Place
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3.08University of Saint Thomas0.9920.2%1st Place
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6.25Hope College-0.693.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Notre Dame-1.671.2%1st Place
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7.56Western Michigan University-1.731.3%1st Place
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5.62Grand Valley State University-0.444.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 18.6% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 36.4% | 28.1% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Monique | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bartel | 20.2% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 11.0% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 24.8% | 40.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 12.6% | 27.7% | 39.7% |
| Sarah Corder | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.