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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+1.12vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+1.09vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.69+2.64vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.12+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.67+1.76vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.23-1.88vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.92-3.95vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.52-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Illinois1.6040.8%1st Place
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3.09Michigan Technological University0.9618.6%1st Place
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5.64Hope College-0.694.0%1st Place
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4.65Marquette University-0.126.8%1st Place
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6.76University of Notre Dame-1.671.4%1st Place
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4.12Michigan State University0.238.6%1st Place
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3.05Purdue University0.9218.4%1st Place
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6.58Western Michigan University-1.521.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 40.8% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 18.6% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 25.4% | 24.1% | 13.6% |
| Jenna Kozal | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 23.2% | 20.6% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 26.7% | 43.5% |
| Samuel Monique | 8.6% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Odey Hariri | 18.4% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Lawrey-Hooker | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.