Race 1A

peak-foliage-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rolfe Glover 37.6% 25.6% 17.6% 9.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Erica Lush 24.2% 25.0% 18.8% 15.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Karakouzian 5.7% 7.0% 9.5% 9.7% 15.0% 15.1% 15.9% 12.3% 7.1% 2.7%
Nathan Alexander 9.7% 15.4% 15.9% 17.3% 16.7% 11.2% 7.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
Karl Ryder 9.3% 10.6% 11.7% 15.8% 16.9% 13.4% 11.8% 6.5% 3.2% 0.8%
Alison Deyett 2.4% 1.9% 3.1% 4.4% 4.5% 7.2% 9.1% 14.8% 22.7% 29.9%
Holly McGarr 2.0% 3.1% 4.9% 7.6% 6.8% 13.0% 13.6% 18.8% 17.1% 13.1%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 5.5% 6.5% 11.8% 10.7% 14.8% 13.8% 14.7% 12.0% 7.2% 3.0%
Joshua Kegan 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 4.1% 4.6% 8.8% 10.4% 13.5% 21.1% 31.4%
Sarah Hyman 1.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.4% 6.2% 10.6% 13.7% 16.8% 19.7% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.