Race 2A

peak-foliage-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rolfe Glover 37.1% 26.5% 16.7% 9.8% 5.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Erica Lush 25.7% 21.9% 21.2% 14.7% 9.5% 3.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 8.6% 9.2% 12.7% 14.9% 15.0% 14.9% 13.5% 6.6% 3.6% 1.0%
Nathan Alexander 9.5% 15.2% 16.5% 17.8% 15.9% 11.3% 7.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Zachary Karakouzian 6.4% 8.5% 8.9% 10.7% 13.9% 15.6% 15.3% 11.0% 7.5% 2.2%
Alison Deyett 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.7% 5.4% 6.2% 9.9% 14.9% 20.2% 32.1%
Holly McGarr 2.1% 3.1% 5.2% 5.8% 8.2% 12.6% 15.0% 17.3% 19.5% 11.2%
Joshua Kegan 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 4.5% 5.6% 8.3% 9.3% 14.4% 20.6% 31.3%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 5.1% 7.0% 10.2% 12.8% 13.7% 13.6% 15.0% 12.8% 7.0% 2.8%
Sarah Hyman 1.9% 3.6% 3.6% 5.3% 7.5% 10.5% 11.2% 17.9% 19.5% 19.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.