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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.99+2.48vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.12+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.60-0.44vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.92-0.40vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.69+1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.67+2.19vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.23-2.14vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.96-4.33vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.73vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.52-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Saint Thomas0.9916.1%1st Place
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5.61Marquette University-0.124.9%1st Place
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2.56University of Illinois1.6031.4%1st Place
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3.6Purdue University0.9217.3%1st Place
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6.77Hope College-0.692.7%1st Place
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8.19University of Notre Dame-1.671.5%1st Place
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4.86Michigan State University0.238.0%1st Place
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3.67Michigan Technological University0.9615.2%1st Place
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8.27Michigan Technological University-1.711.4%1st Place
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8.0Western Michigan University-1.521.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rachel Bartel | 16.1% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Jenna Kozal | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
Tarkan Bolat | 31.4% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Odey Hariri | 17.3% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Grace Goszkowicz | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 31.1% |
Samuel Monique | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
Andrew Michels | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Avie Krauss | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 24.8% | 32.6% |
Jacob Lawrey-Hooker | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 24.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.