Race 3A

peak-foliage-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rolfe Glover 36.9% 27.8% 16.1% 8.4% 6.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Erica Lush 25.1% 23.8% 20.4% 15.0% 7.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 8.7% 9.3% 12.2% 14.5% 14.9% 17.5% 10.8% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8%
Zachary Karakouzian 4.3% 7.1% 10.1% 13.3% 14.1% 16.7% 13.2% 12.0% 6.2% 3.0%
Nathan Alexander 11.8% 14.0% 16.7% 16.0% 17.2% 9.6% 9.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Alison Deyett 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 6.6% 10.1% 13.5% 22.2% 31.6%
Joshua Kegan 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 4.3% 4.7% 7.6% 9.9% 15.4% 22.1% 30.8%
Holly McGarr 2.6% 3.3% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 10.8% 14.6% 17.3% 18.6% 11.4%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 5.1% 7.7% 9.1% 12.3% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0% 12.0% 7.3% 2.3%
Sarah Hyman 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 5.4% 8.0% 9.1% 13.2% 17.2% 18.3% 19.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.