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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.54+2.27vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University0.03+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.70-0.11vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.65+1.31vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.85-2.24vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.41+0.39vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.60-1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.97-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Marquette University0.5419.9%1st Place
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4.32Grand Valley State University0.0310.2%1st Place
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2.89University of Illinois0.7023.4%1st Place
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5.31Western Michigan University-0.655.6%1st Place
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2.76Purdue University0.8527.1%1st Place
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6.39Hope College-1.412.9%1st Place
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5.23Michigan State University-0.606.4%1st Place
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5.82University of Notre Dame-0.974.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Turner | 19.9% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Michael Rivkin | 23.4% | 24.8% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack LeFevre | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 15.4% |
| Lukas Diehm | 27.1% | 23.4% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Barce | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 41.5% |
| Brynna Smith | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 13.0% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.