← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University0.85+2.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Saint Thomas0.88+1.15vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-0.60+3.09vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University0.03+0.87vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University0.54-1.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois0.70-2.61vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-0.65-0.84vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-0.97-1.31vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-1.41-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33Purdue University0.8519.6%1st Place
-
3.15University of Saint Thomas0.8821.7%1st Place
-
6.09Michigan State University-0.604.9%1st Place
-
4.87Grand Valley State University0.039.2%1st Place
-
3.94Marquette University0.5415.0%1st Place
-
3.39University of Illinois0.7020.2%1st Place
-
6.16Western Michigan University-0.654.7%1st Place
-
6.69University of Notre Dame-0.972.6%1st Place
-
7.38Hope College-1.412.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 19.6% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 21.7% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 12.7% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Emma Turner | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Rivkin | 20.2% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack LeFevre | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 14.1% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 24.6% |
| Andrew Barce | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 20.7% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.