← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Illinois0.70+2.47vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University0.54+1.92vs Predicted
-
3Grand Valley State University0.03+2.15vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-0.65+2.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Saint Thomas0.88-1.76vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-0.60+0.21vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.01-0.19vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University0.85-4.71vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-0.97-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.47University of Illinois0.7019.0%1st Place
-
3.92Marquette University0.5415.0%1st Place
-
5.15Grand Valley State University0.038.2%1st Place
-
6.1Western Michigan University-0.654.7%1st Place
-
3.24University of Saint Thomas0.8820.2%1st Place
-
6.21Michigan State University-0.604.2%1st Place
-
6.81Hope College-1.012.5%1st Place
-
3.29Purdue University0.8522.4%1st Place
-
6.81University of Notre Dame-0.973.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 19.0% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Turner | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Jack LeFevre | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 15.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 20.2% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.4% |
| Charles Soucey | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 30.4% |
| Lukas Diehm | 22.4% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.