Race 5A

peak-foliage-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rolfe Glover 37.1% 26.2% 17.5% 8.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Erica Lush 25.2% 23.1% 20.5% 14.5% 9.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Karakouzian 5.8% 7.1% 9.9% 10.4% 12.6% 16.7% 15.3% 13.2% 6.0% 3.0%
Nathan Alexander 9.7% 15.1% 15.7% 18.5% 15.8% 11.3% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Karl Ryder 9.4% 10.5% 12.1% 15.5% 17.2% 13.9% 10.3% 6.6% 4.0% 0.5%
Alison Deyett 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 9.6% 14.5% 20.7% 32.1%
Holly McGarr 2.1% 3.1% 5.1% 6.3% 7.8% 12.0% 16.6% 15.9% 19.7% 11.4%
Joshua Kegan 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 4.7% 4.9% 7.8% 10.4% 14.2% 21.0% 30.9%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 4.8% 7.3% 10.3% 12.8% 13.2% 14.0% 14.9% 12.5% 7.5% 2.7%
Sarah Hyman 2.0% 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 7.8% 10.0% 12.0% 18.1% 19.3% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.