Race 4B

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack LeFevre 4.3% 5.1% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 13.2% 15.0% 16.6% 15.2% 7.4%
Greg Bittle 23.2% 19.1% 17.8% 15.2% 11.5% 6.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Lukas Diehm 20.1% 20.0% 15.8% 14.3% 12.8% 8.9% 4.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Emma Turner 15.2% 14.5% 16.2% 15.6% 11.5% 11.9% 8.1% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Michael Rivkin 17.8% 17.6% 16.2% 15.6% 14.3% 9.9% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Brynna Smith 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 7.8% 9.2% 12.6% 15.2% 17.2% 13.6% 6.9%
Sarah Rozboril 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 6.5% 8.8% 16.8% 55.3%
Mitchell Irwin 7.6% 8.3% 10.0% 10.5% 15.0% 14.8% 14.4% 10.7% 6.8% 1.8%
Charles Soucey 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 5.7% 7.3% 9.0% 13.2% 18.1% 22.4% 13.7%
Carter Hrabrick 3.1% 4.0% 4.8% 5.4% 6.7% 9.5% 13.6% 17.9% 20.8% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.