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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.84vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+2.85vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.27-2.93vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.41+2.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-1.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.12-2.91vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Southern California2.7721.1%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Los Angeles1.486.2%1st Place
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3.98Stanford University2.4117.4%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.747.5%1st Place
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7.85University of California at San Diego1.385.1%1st Place
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7.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii2.2717.1%1st Place
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5.92California Poly Maritime Academy1.897.4%1st Place
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11.69University of Texas0.411.1%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.5%1st Place
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10.1University of Oregon0.111.5%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Davis0.072.5%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Berkeley0.732.5%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Irvine-0.121.4%1st Place
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13.14California State University Channel Islands-1.060.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 21.1% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Justin Lim | 17.4% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 18.4% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Emily Avey | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 6.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 12.8% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.