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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+0.52vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+3.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+2.53vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.74-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.48-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.11+0.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07-0.72vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.41-0.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.77vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.06-0.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.12-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Stanford University2.4117.9%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii2.2716.7%1st Place
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3.52University of Southern California2.7722.9%1st Place
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7.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.8%1st Place
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7.53University of California at San Diego1.384.7%1st Place
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6.09California Poly Maritime Academy1.897.4%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.748.1%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.1%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Los Angeles1.485.9%1st Place
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10.15University of Oregon0.112.1%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Davis0.071.9%1st Place
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11.78University of Texas0.410.9%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Berkeley0.732.5%1st Place
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13.24California State University Channel Islands-1.060.5%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Irvine-0.121.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 17.9% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.7% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 22.9% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Alexander | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Avey | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 20.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 49.8% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.