Race 3B

peak-foliage-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elyse Surette-DiMuzio 5.0% 6.8% 7.5% 9.3% 10.7% 12.5% 14.4% 15.7% 11.1% 6.3% 0.7%
Madeline Webb 12.7% 13.0% 12.9% 14.5% 11.8% 11.5% 10.5% 7.3% 4.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Nicholas Pfosi 21.1% 21.3% 16.1% 15.0% 10.7% 6.9% 5.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Bertocci 22.9% 16.6% 19.6% 14.0% 11.9% 6.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan Sleight 5.9% 7.1% 7.1% 9.5% 9.3% 9.5% 12.4% 14.4% 13.7% 10.0% 1.1%
Timothy Forgione 8.5% 10.1% 11.0% 10.6% 12.4% 13.4% 11.1% 9.0% 9.6% 3.9% 0.4%
Emma Brinkman 7.8% 6.5% 8.1% 9.4% 9.9% 11.8% 12.4% 14.3% 11.9% 7.0% 0.9%
Alison Maas 2.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.7% 6.2% 7.6% 9.7% 18.0% 37.9% 7.7%
Rachel Rubin 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 7.8% 84.5%
Zachary Cronin 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 3.2% 6.5% 7.6% 8.7% 14.9% 20.3% 23.3% 4.3%
Amelia Connell 10.1% 12.6% 11.4% 11.0% 12.9% 13.1% 11.8% 8.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.