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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.52+3.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.84vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.61+1.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+0.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.53+2.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.31-0.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.10-1.22vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.55+3.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-2.50vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.04-3.85vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-3.68vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.63-1.96vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.41-0.84vs Predicted
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15Cornell University-1.25-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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3.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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4.64Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.04Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.04Yale University0.630.0%1st Place
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13.16Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
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13.05Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 11.3% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 19.6% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 12.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 23.8% | 34.7% | 17.3% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Meleny | 6.7% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Layton | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Fernandez | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.9% | 29.1% | 35.6% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 31.3% | 52.5% |
| Emily Bick | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 4.5% | 11.9% | 38.4% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.