Race 2A

invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 32.0% 27.6% 19.8% 10.6% 6.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 10.5% 10.5% 13.8% 16.6% 14.1% 13.6% 10.2% 6.8% 3.0% 0.8%
Edward Herman 30.6% 26.1% 20.4% 11.9% 6.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sage Andrews 3.9% 7.0% 8.6% 11.6% 12.6% 15.0% 14.5% 12.4% 9.8% 4.6%
Jane Matthews 5.0% 6.2% 7.4% 10.0% 11.6% 13.0% 15.1% 14.5% 11.5% 5.7%
Olivia Blackmer 1.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% 6.9% 7.3% 11.1% 20.0% 41.0%
James Knowlton 2.9% 3.6% 6.0% 7.1% 9.2% 11.0% 13.7% 16.6% 17.6% 12.3%
Greta Shuster 5.1% 6.6% 7.0% 11.1% 13.8% 12.6% 13.5% 14.6% 10.9% 4.9%
Isabella Cho 7.1% 8.3% 10.8% 13.6% 16.4% 15.2% 12.7% 9.7% 4.3% 2.1%
Devyn Weed 1.4% 2.4% 3.0% 4.3% 5.4% 7.2% 10.9% 14.0% 22.7% 28.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.