← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+5.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.77+1.50vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.41+0.98vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.27-0.02vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.27vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.38+1.49vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-1.07vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.69vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-0.50vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis0.07+0.06vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.12-0.37vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas0.41-0.53vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.73-4.12vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.08vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon-0.82-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.71University of California at Los Angeles1.485.9%1st Place
-
3.5University of Southern California2.7721.5%1st Place
-
3.98Stanford University2.4116.6%1st Place
-
3.98University of Hawaii2.2718.2%1st Place
-
7.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.8%1st Place
-
7.49University of California at San Diego1.384.9%1st Place
-
5.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.6%1st Place
-
6.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.357.2%1st Place
-
8.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.6%1st Place
-
10.06University of California at Davis0.071.7%1st Place
-
10.63University of California at Irvine-0.121.6%1st Place
-
11.47University of Texas0.411.5%1st Place
-
8.88University of California at Berkeley0.732.7%1st Place
-
12.92California State University Channel Islands-1.060.7%1st Place
-
12.38University of Oregon-0.820.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 21.5% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.2% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 7.9% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 21.2% | 39.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.