Race 5B

peak-foliage-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elyse Surette-DiMuzio 5.4% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 10.4% 14.0% 16.4% 15.6% 10.4% 2.9% 0.1%
Simon Bertocci 25.6% 20.7% 15.5% 13.6% 10.2% 8.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pfosi 20.6% 20.5% 17.1% 15.8% 10.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline Webb 12.0% 11.8% 13.6% 14.2% 14.3% 11.5% 10.5% 7.7% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Timothy Forgione 9.5% 10.1% 12.3% 10.6% 13.0% 12.5% 12.8% 11.3% 6.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Brendan Sleight 5.7% 6.8% 7.8% 8.3% 11.8% 12.4% 13.9% 14.9% 13.2% 4.9% 0.3%
Emma Brinkman 7.7% 6.6% 8.3% 10.0% 11.4% 12.3% 14.5% 14.4% 10.0% 4.7% 0.1%
Amelia Connell 10.4% 12.4% 11.9% 13.8% 12.1% 12.3% 10.4% 10.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Alison Maas 1.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.7% 3.9% 4.7% 7.8% 11.7% 30.9% 23.9% 6.8%
Emily Chase 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 7.8% 15.8% 45.4% 17.1%
Rachel Rubin 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.5% 2.3% 4.7% 14.1% 75.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.