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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.38+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27+0.07vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.07+0.13vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-5.33vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.41-0.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.12-2.31vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.00vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.82-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Southern California2.7723.4%1st Place
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4.03Stanford University2.4117.1%1st Place
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7.67University of California at San Diego1.384.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii2.2716.4%1st Place
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7.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.1%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.357.0%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Los Angeles1.487.3%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Berkeley0.732.5%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Davis0.071.8%1st Place
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5.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.2%1st Place
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11.34University of Texas0.411.2%1st Place
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10.69University of California at Irvine-0.121.4%1st Place
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13.0California State University Channel Islands-1.060.6%1st Place
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12.33University of Oregon-0.821.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joseph Hou | 23.4% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Justin Lim | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Nicholas Dorn | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
Bastien Rasse | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kai Ponting | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Aitor Iriso | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Jasper Reid | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Kingsley Ehrich | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
Braedon Hansen | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Karina Bertelsmann | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 14.8% |
Amir Tadros | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 8.7% |
Kaylena Mann | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 39.7% |
Sadie Creemer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 23.2% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.