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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.40vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.77-3.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-0.35vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.52vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.41+0.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.12-1.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-2.66vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.06-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.11-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Stanford University2.6420.3%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Los Angeles1.486.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii2.2716.4%1st Place
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7.69University of California at San Diego1.385.3%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.357.1%1st Place
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5.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.5%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California2.7719.1%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley0.732.3%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.5%1st Place
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7.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.8%1st Place
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11.77University of Texas0.411.1%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Irvine-0.121.2%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Davis0.071.9%1st Place
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13.14California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
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10.15University of Oregon0.112.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 20.3% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jasper Reid | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Hou | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 19.3% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 11.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 6.7% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 48.7% |
| Emily Avey | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.