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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.77vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+3.67vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.77-2.39vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.12+0.92vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.64-7.43vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.41-0.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-2.70vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.11-3.97vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Hawaii2.2716.4%1st Place
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7.65University of California at San Diego1.384.2%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Los Angeles1.486.8%1st Place
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6.17California Poly Maritime Academy1.896.7%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.6%1st Place
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3.61University of Southern California2.7720.4%1st Place
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7.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.8%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.3%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Berkeley0.733.0%1st Place
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10.92University of California at Irvine-0.121.4%1st Place
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3.57Stanford University2.6421.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Texas0.411.4%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Davis0.071.8%1st Place
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10.03University of Oregon0.112.2%1st Place
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13.13California State University Channel Islands-1.060.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Hou | 20.4% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 12.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 21.1% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 21.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Emily Avey | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.