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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+9.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.67vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+5.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+5.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+2.33vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.88vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.62+2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05+3.57vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+2.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.69vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-1.75vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.80-3.16vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-5.76vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.69-1.31vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.05vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-7.60vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-4.32vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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5.67Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.81Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.59Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.84Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.69Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.4Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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12.55Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Michael Grove | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Hans Henken | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 19.8% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 16.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.