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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.25+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.97vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.35vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.49vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.04-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.19+2.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.32-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.19-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.36-1.35vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.50+0.50vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-6.90vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University-1.00-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3University of Southern California1.256.8%1st Place
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3.97University of Hawaii2.0317.4%1st Place
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4.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.4%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Berkeley0.987.9%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.4410.1%1st Place
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8.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.9%1st Place
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3.9Stanford University2.0420.1%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Davis-0.191.9%1st Place
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8.32University of California at San Diego0.683.7%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Los Angeles0.323.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Texas0.192.5%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Irvine-0.361.9%1st Place
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13.5California State University Channel Islands-1.500.5%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.7%1st Place
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12.19Oregon State University-1.001.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diya Correa | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Zmina | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 20.1% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Noah Barton | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 7.7% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 55.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 25.4% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.