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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+6.44vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+5.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+5.70vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+5.65vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.80+0.38vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-0.54vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.75vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-2.53vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-3.74vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.69-0.14vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-5.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.08vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-5.22vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-4.26vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.05-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.44Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.65Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.86Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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12.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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11.46Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% |
| Hans Henken | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| William Macdonald | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 20.2% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Michael Grove | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Michael Booker | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 19.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.