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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.75vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+6.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+3.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.85vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.80+2.49vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.49vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+2.67vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.77vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77+1.86vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.62-2.39vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.69-0.17vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.88vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.08vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-4.30vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-4.30vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.27-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.46Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.86Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.61College of Charleston3.620.0%1st Place
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12.83Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.7Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Hans Henken | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 19.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Michael Grove | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.5% |
| Michael Booker | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.