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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.11vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.25+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+2.98vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.11vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.19+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.08+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.32-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.19-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.56vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.88-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Stanford University2.0419.6%1st Place
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3.89University of Hawaii2.0318.9%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.4410.7%1st Place
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5.91University of Southern California1.258.0%1st Place
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7.98University of California at San Diego0.683.7%1st Place
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8.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.8%1st Place
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4.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.6214.6%1st Place
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9.39University of Texas0.192.9%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Berkeley-0.083.2%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.3%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Los Angeles0.322.9%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Davis-0.192.4%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
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13.14California State University Channel Islands-1.500.4%1st Place
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13.37University of Oregon-1.880.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 18.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Case | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Justin Zmina | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 28.1% | 38.3% |
| Katy Priest | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 25.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.