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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+5.83vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.25+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.03-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.32+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.19+2.66vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-4.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.08-0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.19-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.36-1.74vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-6.24vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.89vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.88-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Stanford University2.0420.2%1st Place
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7.83University of California at San Diego0.684.0%1st Place
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4.59California Poly Maritime Academy1.6214.2%1st Place
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5.99University of Southern California1.257.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii2.0318.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Los Angeles0.324.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Davis-0.193.0%1st Place
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8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.5%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.4412.2%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Berkeley-0.082.4%1st Place
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9.51University of Texas0.192.4%1st Place
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10.26University of California at Irvine-0.361.7%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.8%1st Place
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13.11California State University Channel Islands-1.500.9%1st Place
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13.53University of Oregon-1.880.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 20.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Justin Zmina | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Max Case | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Ted McDonough | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 29.2% | 38.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 24.4% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.