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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.05+9.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+6.27vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.25vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-0.57vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.62+2.11vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+2.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-1.91vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-1.35vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-2.63vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.69+1.25vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.27-2.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-1.90vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-2.43vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-8.10vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.05-5.37vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-9.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.27Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.43Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.65Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.25Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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12.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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12.57Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.63Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| William Haeger | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Hans Henken | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Domenic Bove | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 23.4% |
| Michael Booker | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.