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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.03+3.06vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.25+3.26vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+3.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.32+3.31vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.60vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.13-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.19-0.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.08-1.94vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.50+1.21vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.64-5.54vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University-1.00-2.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.36-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of Hawaii2.0318.7%1st Place
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4.03Stanford University2.0418.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Southern California1.258.8%1st Place
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4.97California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.0%1st Place
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8.61University of California at San Diego0.685.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Los Angeles0.323.0%1st Place
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8.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.3%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.4411.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Texas0.131.8%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Davis-0.192.1%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Berkeley-0.082.5%1st Place
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14.21California State University Channel Islands-1.500.7%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University0.644.1%1st Place
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13.0Oregon State University-1.001.2%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Irvine-0.361.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 18.7% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Justin Zmina | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 53.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 25.7% | 24.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.