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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.25+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.19+5.25vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.32+0.74vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.53+2.45vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.08-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.68-3.71vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.13-3.65vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.50+0.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.90vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University-1.00-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Stanford University2.0417.9%1st Place
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4.08University of Hawaii2.0316.5%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.4412.3%1st Place
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6.06University of Southern California1.257.9%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Davis-0.192.0%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.4%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.2%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Los Angeles0.324.5%1st Place
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11.45Western Washington University-0.531.7%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.5%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Berkeley-0.082.5%1st Place
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8.29University of California at San Diego0.685.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Texas0.132.9%1st Place
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14.13California State University Channel Islands-1.500.4%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Irvine-0.361.6%1st Place
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12.95Oregon State University-1.000.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 17.9% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 16.5% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Justin Zmina | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Claire Jablonski | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 8.6% |
| Max Case | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Noah Barton | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Reilly Linn | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 50.5% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 23.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.