← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.80+7.54vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College4.05+5.45vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.95+4.91vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.55+1.44vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University4.08+2.15vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.69+6.91vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+1.96vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.62+0.98vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.64-0.05vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.77+2.81vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.23-0.14vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.72vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.05-1.69vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.82-5.98vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-2.58vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.27-5.34vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.35vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.54Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.45Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
7.91Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
5.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
7.15Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.91Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
-
8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.98College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
-
8.95Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
12.81Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
10.86Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
11.31Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.02Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
12.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.66University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
-
11.65University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 19.4% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 18.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.8% |
| Michael Booker | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.