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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+1.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+2.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.39-0.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.48+1.75vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.01+0.16vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-0.01vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.89-0.10vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.64+0.12vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.65-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Roger Williams University1.5532.1%1st Place
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4.59Brown University0.3710.1%1st Place
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2.52Roger Williams University1.3931.7%1st Place
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5.75Boston University-0.485.0%1st Place
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5.16Northeastern University0.016.7%1st Place
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5.99Fairfield University-0.434.0%1st Place
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6.9Amherst College-0.892.2%1st Place
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8.12Salve Regina University-1.641.1%1st Place
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5.73Bates College-0.655.1%1st Place
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7.78University of New Hampshire-1.411.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor McHugh | 32.1% | 28.2% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
Edward Herman | 31.7% | 27.1% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sage Andrews | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
Isabella Cho | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
Jane Matthews | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 5.4% |
James Knowlton | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 13.0% |
Olivia Blackmer | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 40.2% |
Greta Shuster | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
Devyn Weed | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.