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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+2.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.53+4.32vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.61+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.04+1.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.10+0.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+0.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-1.63vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.52-4.06vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.31-4.55vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.63+0.07vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55-1.84vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.41-0.82vs Predicted
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15Cornell University-1.25-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University2.530.1%1st Place
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4.66Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.94Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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11.07Yale University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.16Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.18Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
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13.05Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 17.8% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Layton | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Fernandez | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 26.8% | 35.8% | 14.2% | 2.4% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 28.4% | 36.5% | 14.7% | 2.8% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 3.7% | 9.4% | 31.4% | 52.8% |
| Emily Bick | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 38.8% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.