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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.69+5.58vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+5.17vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+1.26vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.83+3.81vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.05+1.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18+0.57vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.60+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.26-2.59vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.16-0.28vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.73-3.16vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-6.43vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-6.30vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Northeastern University1.698.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston University0.976.3%1st Place
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4.26Boston College1.9718.4%1st Place
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7.81Salve Regina University0.835.4%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College0.058.1%1st Place
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6.57Tufts University1.187.8%1st Place
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7.33Boston University1.016.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island0.603.5%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island1.268.6%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University0.162.4%1st Place
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7.84Fairfield University0.735.3%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5512.4%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont1.057.5%1st Place
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13.45Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 3.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 25.1% | 5.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.