Race 2A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Mendenhall 6.0% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 9.3% 9.7% 9.3% 8.2% 6.9% 5.1% 0.8%
John (Jack) Plavan 18.7% 15.7% 13.7% 11.5% 10.7% 7.9% 6.7% 5.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Zachary Champney 8.2% 8.1% 9.8% 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.9% 9.0% 6.2% 6.7% 7.4% 5.7% 2.8% 0.5%
Adrien Bellanger 8.1% 8.3% 8.4% 9.4% 8.8% 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 7.6% 7.4% 6.8% 7.1% 3.6% 0.9%
Adrian van der Wal 7.5% 8.6% 7.7% 7.9% 8.9% 9.0% 9.3% 8.3% 9.0% 8.0% 6.9% 4.9% 3.4% 0.4%
Nathan Selian 6.0% 6.9% 7.0% 6.9% 7.1% 6.7% 8.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 8.9% 8.9% 7.1% 0.9%
Matthew Elliott 11.7% 10.2% 11.6% 9.6% 9.8% 8.3% 8.5% 7.6% 6.4% 6.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 8.2% 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.9% 8.1% 7.2% 8.8% 8.9% 7.4% 5.9% 5.0% 0.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.1% 6.3% 7.1% 5.8% 6.7% 8.3% 6.9% 8.8% 8.3% 9.6% 9.4% 9.7% 6.9% 1.2%
Paul Kuechler 2.8% 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 4.9% 5.3% 7.3% 10.3% 14.7% 27.2% 5.9%
Meghan Haviland 3.6% 4.6% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 5.0% 6.0% 6.3% 8.2% 8.3% 10.0% 13.2% 17.6% 2.9%
Wilson Kaznoski 5.1% 6.0% 5.4% 7.1% 6.2% 7.7% 7.8% 8.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 9.3% 8.2% 1.2%
Calvin Lamosse 8.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 8.4% 8.9% 9.2% 7.2% 8.2% 7.2% 7.0% 6.4% 4.9% 0.5%
Evelyn Lane 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 6.2% 83.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.