Race 3A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John (Jack) Plavan 17.8% 14.7% 14.1% 12.6% 9.8% 9.3% 5.7% 5.1% 4.1% 3.4% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.8% 8.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.2% 8.8% 8.1% 8.2% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 7.9% 5.9% 0.8%
Calvin Lamosse 7.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 9.2% 7.4% 9.0% 8.4% 9.6% 7.5% 6.5% 5.9% 4.2% 0.4%
Paul Kuechler 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 4.5% 3.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.6% 5.7% 7.0% 9.9% 13.7% 26.5% 5.8%
Adrien Bellanger 9.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.5% 6.6% 7.0% 6.0% 3.6% 0.4%
Adrian van der Wal 7.1% 9.0% 8.3% 8.1% 7.7% 9.8% 8.9% 8.7% 7.5% 7.8% 6.3% 5.8% 4.2% 0.7%
Matthew Elliott 10.4% 10.4% 9.3% 11.2% 11.3% 10.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.0% 5.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 7.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 7.8% 1.4%
Benjamin Stevens 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 7.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 7.8% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2% 5.7% 4.7% 0.5%
Meghan Haviland 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 5.1% 4.5% 4.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.2% 8.9% 11.7% 13.2% 17.2% 2.9%
Nathan Selian 6.2% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 7.8% 6.2% 8.5% 8.6% 7.8% 9.2% 8.8% 10.7% 6.0% 0.7%
Zachary Champney 9.2% 8.5% 9.2% 8.7% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 6.5% 4.5% 3.3% 0.4%
Wilson Kaznoski 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 6.5% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 8.5% 7.9% 9.2% 9.4% 9.9% 9.2% 1.3%
Evelyn Lane 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 2.9% 5.9% 84.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.