Race 4A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adrian van der Wal 7.7% 7.5% 9.2% 7.7% 9.2% 8.9% 8.2% 8.6% 7.8% 8.3% 7.6% 5.3% 3.5% 0.4%
Adrien Bellanger 7.0% 8.4% 8.9% 8.5% 9.1% 8.8% 8.0% 8.7% 8.1% 7.4% 6.6% 5.9% 3.9% 0.6%
John (Jack) Plavan 17.4% 14.8% 11.9% 12.0% 11.2% 8.6% 8.0% 5.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.8% 7.8% 7.1% 8.0% 7.0% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.6% 5.5% 0.8%
Matthew Elliott 12.0% 10.9% 10.5% 9.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 9.0% 7.3% 4.8% 0.8%
Meghan Haviland 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 5.6% 4.4% 5.1% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 9.5% 9.3% 13.5% 17.7% 2.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.6% 5.3% 5.6% 6.8% 6.9% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8% 7.5% 8.3% 9.2% 10.2% 8.3% 1.7%
Nathan Selian 6.7% 6.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.6% 8.4% 7.8% 8.0% 7.1% 9.1% 8.3% 9.7% 6.3% 1.2%
Zachary Champney 8.7% 9.4% 8.7% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 9.7% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 6.2% 5.2% 2.9% 0.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 6.2% 6.0% 6.4% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 7.4% 9.3% 10.0% 8.4% 8.8% 9.0% 1.1%
Paul Kuechler 2.8% 3.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.8% 4.5% 4.0% 5.5% 6.9% 5.9% 11.1% 12.8% 26.5% 5.8%
Calvin Lamosse 7.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 6.9% 8.8% 7.9% 8.2% 8.5% 6.9% 3.9% 0.6%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 2.8% 5.6% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.